MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 14, 2026

NYY @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
83
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

NYY Will Warren · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)12.3%3.0 PA
2Nathan Lukes (L)12.5%3.0 PA
3Alejandro Kirk (R)10.2%3.0 PA
4Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Kazuma Okamoto (R)12.0%3.0 PA
6Jesús Sánchez (L)12.2%2.2 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)12.3%2.0 PA
8Davis Schneider (R)13.8%2.0 PA
9Charles McAdoo (R)11.7%2.0 PA

TOR Patrick Corbin · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYY lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Paul Goldschmidt (R)14.9%3.0 PA
2Ben Rice (L)12.9%3.0 PA
3Jasson Domínguez (R)11.5%3.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)11.6%3.0 PA
5Amed Rosario (R)10.3%2.0 PA
6José Caballero (R)14.2%2.0 PA
7Max Schuemann (R)13.9%2.0 PA
8Anthony Volpe (R)13.4%2.0 PA
9Ali Sánchez (R)10.0%2.0 PA