‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 14, 2026
CHC @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
1–5
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 67°F SunnyWind 9 mph, Varies
Ryan Rolison · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.8 BF
Expected batters faced9.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.1 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SF lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Matt Chapman (R)12.8%1.8 PA
2Luis Arraez (L)9.3%1.0 PA
3Bryce Eldridge (L)12.5%1.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)10.1%1.0 PA
5Casey Schmitt (R)10.4%1.0 PA
6Willy Adames (R)12.1%1.0 PA
7Jung Hoo Lee (L)12.1%1.0 PA
8Daniel Susac (R)10.3%1.0 PA
9Drew Gilbert (L)9.9%1.0 PA
Logan Webb · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)15.7%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)11.5%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.6%3.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)14.9%3.0 PA
5Michael Conforto (L)10.2%3.0 PA
6Pedro Ramírez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Carson Kelly (R)9.6%2.4 PA
8Moisés Ballesteros (L)9.1%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)12.2%2.0 PA