ATL @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

1–8

Final

NYM

New York Mets

◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 87°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Out To LF

Bryce Elder · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carson Benge (L)13.2%3.0 PA

2Bo Bichette (R)10.7%3.0 PA

3Juan Soto (L)13.4%3.0 PA

4Jared Young (L)12.0%3.0 PA

5A.J. Ewing (L)12.8%3.0 PA

6Marcus Semien (R)11.2%3.0 PA

7Brett Baty (L)9.9%2.1 PA

8MJ Melendez (L)11.4%2.0 PA

9Luis Torrens (R)12.9%2.0 PA

Freddy Peralta · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Michael Harris II (L)12.6%3.0 PA

2Mauricio Dubón (R)12.1%3.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)14.5%3.0 PA

4Ozzie Albies (L)15.1%3.0 PA

5Dominic Smith (L)13.0%3.0 PA

6Austin Riley (R)10.4%3.0 PA

7Eli White (R)13.6%2.3 PA

8Mike Yastrzemski (L)10.5%2.0 PA

9Sandy León (L)8.6%2.0 PA