‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 14, 2026
STL @ MIN Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
4–5
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 67°F Partly CloudyWind 16 mph, Out To RF
Michael McGreevy · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)13.2%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)16.3%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)14.4%3.0 PA
4Royce Lewis (R)10.1%3.0 PA
5Josh Bell (L)12.5%2.6 PA
6Victor Caratini (L)8.4%2.0 PA
7Brooks Lee (L)12.6%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)11.0%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)11.8%2.0 PA
Taj Bradley · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)16.2%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)15.0%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)15.1%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)11.9%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)12.7%3.0 PA
6Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.6 PA
7Bryan Torres (L)13.7%2.0 PA
8José Fermín (R)8.6%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)11.1%2.0 PA