‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 14, 2026
HOU @ KC Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
0–4
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 74°F SunnyWind 13 mph, L To R
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)13.3%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)12.6%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)12.0%3.0 PA
4Maikel Garcia (R)11.3%3.0 PA
5Michael Massey (L)11.5%3.0 PA
6Salvador Perez (R)8.7%2.6 PA
7Kameron Misner (L)10.4%2.0 PA
8Lane Thomas (R)12.4%2.0 PA
9Isaac Collins (L)10.7%2.0 PA
Stephen Kolek · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)16.4%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)15.4%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)12.1%3.0 PA
4Joey Loperfido (L)12.3%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)10.3%3.0 PA
6Jake Meyers (R)11.3%3.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)12.2%2.1 PA
8Raynel Delgado (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Collin Price (R)11.7%2.0 PA