MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 14, 2026

DET @ CLE Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
vs
Postponed
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Progressive FieldElevation 653 ftCenter Field 405 ft 80°F CloudyWind 16 mph, L To R

DET Casey Mize · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CLE lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Travis Bazzana (L)9.3%3.0 PA
2Brayan Rocchio (L)9.4%3.0 PA
3Kyle Manzardo (L)10.7%3.0 PA
4Rhys Hoskins (R)10.5%2.1 PA
5Daniel Schneemann (L)10.4%2.0 PA
6David Fry (R)13.1%2.0 PA
7Steven Kwan (L)12.5%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Arias (R)10.1%2.0 PA
9Patrick Bailey (L)9.9%2.0 PA

CLE Gavin Williams · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)15.7%3.0 PA
2Gleyber Torres (R)11.6%3.0 PA
3Riley Greene (L)12.6%3.0 PA
4Dillon Dingler (R)14.7%3.0 PA
5Kerry Carpenter (L)11.4%3.0 PA
6Colt Keith (L)10.8%3.0 PA
7Spencer Torkelson (R)10.3%2.7 PA
8James Outman (L)10.9%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)10.9%2.0 PA