‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 14, 2026
SD @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 14, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
5–2
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 87°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To CF
Walker Buehler · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)14.4%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)14.0%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)13.1%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)15.2%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)13.5%2.1 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)13.2%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)14.6%2.0 PA
8Jeremiah Jackson (R)13.4%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)12.0%2.0 PA
Trevor Rogers · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.3%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)10.9%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)13.2%3.0 PA
4Xander Bogaerts (R)11.4%2.5 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)7.5%2.0 PA
6Samad Taylor (R)12.3%2.0 PA
7Nick Solak (R)11.2%2.0 PA
8Jase Bowen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA