MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, June 15, 2026

MIN @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
42
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

MIN Mike Paredes · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.0 BF

Expected batters faced19.0
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.3%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)9.9%2.0 PA
3Wyatt Langford (R)11.6%2.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)10.4%2.0 PA
5Jake Burger (R)11.2%2.0 PA
6Alejandro Osuna (L)9.8%2.0 PA
7Cody Freeman (R)10.5%2.0 PA
8Nicky Lopez (L)10.3%2.0 PA
9Elias Díaz (R)12.7%2.0 PA

TEX MacKenzie Gore · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Austin Martin (R)14.5%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)14.6%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)11.1%3.0 PA
4Royce Lewis (R)12.6%3.0 PA
5Josh Bell (R)10.3%2.3 PA
6Kyler Fedko (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Luke Keaschall (R)12.4%2.0 PA
8Ryan Kreidler (R)12.7%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)12.0%2.0 PA