‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 15, 2026
SD @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
0–3
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 76°F ClearWind 5 mph, L To R
Wandy Peralta · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.4 BF
Expected batters faced10.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)10.9%2.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)13.5%1.4 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)10.9%1.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)15.7%1.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)11.7%1.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.5%1.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)11.2%1.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)12.0%1.0 PA
Dustin May · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.2%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)10.8%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)12.9%3.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Will Wagner (L)11.9%3.0 PA
7Ty France (R)10.3%2.0 PA
8Sung-Mun Song (L)11.4%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA