MIA @ PHI Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026

MIA

Miami Marlins

0–7

Final

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 75°F Partly CloudyWind 14 mph, L To R

Ryan Gusto · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.6 BF

Expected batters faced15.6

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kyle Schwarber (L)12.3%2.0 PA

2Trea Turner (R)12.0%2.0 PA

3Bryce Harper (L)17.1%2.0 PA

4Brandon Marsh (L)13.2%2.0 PA

5Bryson Stott (L)9.6%2.0 PA

6J.T. Realmuto (R)10.9%2.0 PA

7Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)11.7%1.6 PA

8Justin Crawford (L)7.8%1.0 PA

9Edmundo Sosa (R)11.7%1.0 PA

Zack Wheeler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Liam Hicks (L)14.8%3.0 PA

2Otto Lopez (R)14.9%3.0 PA

3Kyle Stowers (L)11.4%3.0 PA

4Xavier Edwards (L)10.7%3.0 PA

5Heriberto Hernández (R)12.7%3.0 PA

6Owen Caissie (L)10.5%2.8 PA

7Jakob Marsee (L)11.0%2.0 PA

8Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Javier Sanoja (R)10.5%2.0 PA