‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 15, 2026
TB @ LAD Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
3–4
Final
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
◆ UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumElevation 515 ftCenter Field 395 ft☀ 71°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To RF
Nick Martinez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)16.8%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)13.6%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)14.6%3.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)14.2%3.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)15.9%3.0 PA
6Kyle Tucker (L)13.7%3.0 PA
7Ryan Ward (L)13.8%2.1 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)13.4%2.0 PA
9Alex Freeland (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Eric Lauer · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)13.8%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)10.5%3.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)12.5%3.0 PA
4Ryan Vilade (R)10.2%2.5 PA
5Ben Williamson (R)13.9%2.0 PA
6Austin Slater (R)10.6%2.0 PA
7Cedric Mullins (L)9.3%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)12.6%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (R)10.4%2.0 PA