DET @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026

DET

Detroit Tigers

9–3

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Drew Anderson · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload10.2 BF

Expected batters faced10.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)15.2%2.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)15.1%1.2 PA

3Christian Walker (R)11.3%1.0 PA

4Isaac Paredes (R)10.9%1.0 PA

5Jose Altuve (R)11.8%1.0 PA

6Taylor Trammell (L)11.1%1.0 PA

7Cam Smith (R)9.8%1.0 PA

8Brice Matthews (R)11.9%1.0 PA

9Christian Vázquez (R)10.9%1.0 PA

Kai-Wei Teng · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.8 BF

Expected batters faced18.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kevin McGonigle (L)15.5%2.8 PA

2Gleyber Torres (R)11.1%2.0 PA

3Kerry Carpenter (L)11.1%2.0 PA

4Riley Greene (L)12.6%2.0 PA

5Dillon Dingler (R)14.3%2.0 PA

6Colt Keith (L)10.9%2.0 PA

7Spencer Torkelson (R)11.0%2.0 PA

8Zach McKinstry (L)10.0%2.0 PA

9James Outman (L)11.6%2.0 PA