‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 15, 2026
NYM @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026
NYM
New York Mets
0–12
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 74°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, Out To LF
Tobias Myers · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.0 BF
Expected batters faced10.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.1 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)10.0%2.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)13.5%1.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)10.6%1.0 PA
4Spencer Steer (R)13.3%1.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)9.5%1.0 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)10.6%1.0 PA
7Matt McLain (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)8.5%1.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%1.0 PA
Chase Burns · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)13.3%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)13.5%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)11.8%3.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)14.1%3.0 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)11.6%2.2 PA
7Brett Baty (L)9.7%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)11.1%2.0 PA
9Francisco Alvarez (R)11.3%2.0 PA