‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 15, 2026
PIT @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
2–11
Final
ATH
Athletics
◆ Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft☀ 86°F ClearWind 11 mph, Out To LF
Jared Jones · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nick Kurtz (L)15.2%3.0 PA
2Shea Langeliers (R)11.6%3.0 PA
3Tyler Soderstrom (L)12.1%3.0 PA
4Jacob Wilson (R)12.1%2.2 PA
5Carlos Cortes (L)10.3%2.0 PA
6Zack Gelof (R)13.9%2.0 PA
7Lawrence Butler (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Henry Bolte (R)7.1%2.0 PA
9Jeff McNeil (L)8.4%2.0 PA
J.T. Ginn · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)13.8%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)13.6%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)13.0%2.5 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)14.3%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)10.6%2.0 PA
9Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA