MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, June 15, 2026

PIT @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
211
Final
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft 86°F ClearWind 11 mph, Out To LF

PIT Jared Jones · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nick Kurtz (L)15.2%3.0 PA
2Shea Langeliers (R)11.6%3.0 PA
3Tyler Soderstrom (L)12.1%3.0 PA
4Jacob Wilson (R)12.1%2.2 PA
5Carlos Cortes (L)10.3%2.0 PA
6Zack Gelof (R)13.9%2.0 PA
7Lawrence Butler (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Henry Bolte (R)7.1%2.0 PA
9Jeff McNeil (L)8.4%2.0 PA

ATH J.T. Ginn · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)13.8%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)13.6%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)13.0%2.5 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)14.3%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)10.6%2.0 PA
9Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA