MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, June 15, 2026

LAA @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026

LAA
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
34
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 78°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

LAA Walbert Ureña · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)10.7%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.1%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)15.3%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)12.0%3.0 PA
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)9.7%2.8 PA
6Nolan Arenado (R)10.5%2.0 PA
7Jordan Lawlar (R)11.9%2.0 PA
8Pavin Smith (L)9.5%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)11.9%2.0 PA

AZ Ryne Nelson · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

LAA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Zach Neto (R)13.8%3.0 PA
2Mike Trout (R)13.6%3.0 PA
3Wade Meckler (L)14.6%3.0 PA
4Jo Adell (R)13.1%3.0 PA
5Nolan Schanuel (L)11.5%3.0 PA
6Denzer Guzman (R)10.0%3.0 PA
7Logan O'Hoppe (R)10.9%3.0 PA
8Donovan Walton (L)12.0%2.0 PA
9Oswald Peraza (R)7.9%2.0 PA