MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

MIN @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
122
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

MIN Zebby Matthews · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.3%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)9.9%3.0 PA
3Wyatt Langford (R)11.6%3.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)10.4%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Duran (R)12.0%3.0 PA
6Jake Burger (R)11.2%3.0 PA
7Josh Smith (L)9.3%2.3 PA
8Alejandro Osuna (L)9.8%2.0 PA
9Elias Díaz (R)12.7%2.0 PA

TEX Kumar Rocker · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)13.1%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)15.3%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)13.9%3.0 PA
4Royce Lewis (R)9.8%2.5 PA
5Josh Bell (L)12.6%2.0 PA
6Brooks Lee (L)12.3%2.0 PA
7Luke Keaschall (R)11.9%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)10.5%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)12.2%2.0 PA