MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

SD @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
23
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 77°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, Out To RF

SD Michael King · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)16.2%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)15.0%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)15.7%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)11.8%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)12.2%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.3%2.7 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)10.2%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)11.6%2.0 PA

STL Andre Pallante · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.2%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)10.8%3.0 PA
4Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)12.9%3.0 PA
6Samad Taylor (R)12.0%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)10.3%2.0 PA
8Will Wagner (L)11.9%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA