BAL @ SEA Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

1–3

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 71°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, In From LF

Brandon Young · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)12.3%3.0 PA

2Cal Raleigh (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Julio Rodríguez (R)11.8%3.0 PA

4Dominic Canzone (L)14.6%3.0 PA

5Rob Refsnyder (R)10.8%3.0 PA

6Cole Young (L)11.5%3.0 PA

7Victor Robles (R)12.2%2.1 PA

8Colt Emerson (L)14.2%2.0 PA

9Miles Mastrobuoni (L)10.2%2.0 PA

Logan Gilbert · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)13.9%3.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)14.0%3.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)13.1%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)15.3%3.0 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)13.4%3.0 PA

6Leody Taveras (L)12.7%2.1 PA

7Colton Cowser (L)14.1%2.0 PA

8Blaze Alexander (R)12.4%2.0 PA

9Jackson Holliday (L)12.7%2.0 PA