MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

TB @ LAD Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
01
Final
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumElevation 515 ftCenter Field 395 ft 70°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, L To R

TB Drew Rasmussen · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)16.8%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)13.6%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)14.6%3.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)14.2%3.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)15.9%3.0 PA
6Kyle Tucker (L)13.7%2.0 PA
7Ryan Ward (L)13.8%2.0 PA
8Alex Freeland (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Chuckie Robinson (R)10.7%2.0 PA

LAD Justin Wrobleski · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)13.8%3.0 PA
2Austin Slater (R)10.6%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)10.5%3.0 PA
4Junior Caminero (R)12.5%3.0 PA
5Ryan Vilade (R)10.2%3.0 PA
6Ben Williamson (R)13.9%3.0 PA
7Chandler Simpson (L)10.6%2.7 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)12.6%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (R)10.4%2.0 PA