‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
DET @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
DET
Detroit Tigers
2–4
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Framber Valdez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)12.1%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)12.5%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)13.1%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)15.0%3.0 PA
6Yainer Diaz (R)12.2%2.7 PA
7Cam Smith (R)11.1%2.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)10.8%2.0 PA
9Raynel Delgado (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Hunter Brown · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)15.5%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)14.3%3.0 PA
3Kerry Carpenter (L)11.1%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)12.6%3.0 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)11.0%2.4 PA
6Wenceel Pérez (L)11.9%2.0 PA
7Zach McKinstry (L)10.0%2.0 PA
8Hao-Yu Lee (R)11.3%2.0 PA
9James Outman (L)11.6%2.0 PA