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Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

DET @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
24
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
HOU
Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

DET Framber Valdez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)12.1%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)12.5%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)13.1%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)15.0%3.0 PA
6Yainer Diaz (R)12.2%2.7 PA
7Cam Smith (R)11.1%2.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)10.8%2.0 PA
9Raynel Delgado (L)11.7%2.0 PA

HOU Hunter Brown · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)15.5%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)14.3%3.0 PA
3Kerry Carpenter (L)11.1%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)12.6%3.0 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)11.0%2.4 PA
6Wenceel Pérez (L)11.9%2.0 PA
7Zach McKinstry (L)10.0%2.0 PA
8Hao-Yu Lee (R)11.3%2.0 PA
9James Outman (L)11.6%2.0 PA