NYM @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

NYM

New York Mets

3–5

Final

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 74°F CloudyWind 9 mph, R To L

Kodai Senga · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Blake Dunn (R)10.0%3.0 PA

2JJ Bleday (L)13.5%3.0 PA

3Sal Stewart (R)10.6%2.8 PA

4Nathaniel Lowe (L)9.9%2.0 PA

5Eugenio Suárez (R)9.5%2.0 PA

6Spencer Steer (R)13.3%2.0 PA

7Tyler Stephenson (R)8.5%2.0 PA

8Matt McLain (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA

Brady Singer · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carson Benge (L)13.3%3.0 PA

2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Juan Soto (L)13.5%3.0 PA

4Jared Young (L)11.8%2.9 PA

5A.J. Ewing (L)14.1%2.0 PA

6Marcus Semien (R)11.6%2.0 PA

7Brett Baty (L)9.7%2.0 PA

8MJ Melendez (L)11.1%2.0 PA

9Francisco Alvarez (R)11.3%2.0 PA