COL @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

COL

Colorado Rockies

5–2

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 71°F Partly CloudyWind 15 mph, Out To RF

Ryan Feltner · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.9 BF

Expected batters faced19.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)14.9%3.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)11.5%2.9 PA

3Michael Busch (L)11.5%2.0 PA

4Seiya Suzuki (R)12.6%2.0 PA

5Ian Happ (L)14.4%2.0 PA

6Nico Hoerner (R)8.4%2.0 PA

7Matt Shaw (R)10.6%2.0 PA

8Miguel Amaya (R)11.1%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)12.9%2.0 PA

Edward Cabrera · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jake McCarthy (L)12.6%3.0 PA

2Willi Castro (L)13.2%3.0 PA

3TJ Rumfield (L)13.4%3.0 PA

4Hunter Goodman (R)15.3%3.0 PA

5Troy Johnston (L)13.2%2.5 PA

6Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.0 PA

7Brett Sullivan (L)11.5%2.0 PA

8Ezequiel Tovar (R)10.6%2.0 PA

9Edouard Julien (L)12.1%2.0 PA