‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
SF @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
SF
San Francisco Giants
7–2
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 69°F RainWind 4 mph, L To R
Adrian Houser · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Drake Baldwin (L)14.2%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)13.1%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)14.5%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)14.7%2.9 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)12.8%2.0 PA
6Mauricio Dubón (R)12.0%2.0 PA
7Austin Riley (R)10.3%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)10.4%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)10.5%2.0 PA
Grant Holmes · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)13.0%3.0 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)15.3%3.0 PA
3Matt Chapman (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)13.9%3.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)14.2%2.6 PA
6Willy Adames (R)12.0%2.0 PA
7Casey Schmitt (R)11.5%2.0 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Daniel Susac (R)8.5%2.0 PA