PIT @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

6–5

Final

ATH

Athletics

◆ Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft☀ 85°F ClearWind 10 mph, Out To CF

Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Nick Kurtz (L)15.2%3.0 PA

2Shea Langeliers (R)11.6%3.0 PA

3Tyler Soderstrom (L)12.1%3.0 PA

4Jacob Wilson (R)12.1%3.0 PA

5Carlos Cortes (L)10.3%3.0 PA

6Zack Gelof (R)13.9%2.7 PA

7Lawrence Butler (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Henry Bolte (R)7.1%2.0 PA

9Jeff McNeil (L)8.4%2.0 PA

Jack Perkins · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.6 BF

Expected batters faced14.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.2%2.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)14.7%2.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)13.8%2.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%2.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)13.6%2.0 PA

6Endy Rodríguez (L)13.0%1.6 PA

7Tyler Callihan (L)14.3%1.0 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)10.6%1.0 PA

9Jared Triolo (R)9.6%1.0 PA