‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
LAA @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
7–0
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 77°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Reid Detmers · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)14.2%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (R)10.4%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)11.3%3.0 PA
4Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)9.8%3.0 PA
5Nolan Arenado (R)12.0%3.0 PA
6Ildemaro Vargas (R)13.1%2.5 PA
7Jordan Lawlar (R)12.0%2.0 PA
8Adrian Del Castillo (L)9.8%2.0 PA
9LuJames Groover (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.2 BF
Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.1 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
LAA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Zach Neto (R)13.8%3.0 PA
2Mike Trout (R)13.6%3.0 PA
3Nolan Schanuel (L)11.5%3.0 PA
4Jo Adell (R)13.1%3.0 PA
5Nick Madrigal (R)14.8%3.0 PA
6Wade Meckler (L)14.6%3.0 PA
7Denzer Guzman (R)10.0%3.0 PA
8Logan O'Hoppe (R)10.9%2.2 PA
9Donovan Walton (L)12.0%2.0 PA