‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
KC @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
KC
Kansas City Royals
6–2
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 84°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF
Luinder Avila · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.5 BF
Expected batters faced14.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)18.5%2.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)13.2%2.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)12.3%2.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)15.9%2.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)11.5%2.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)14.4%1.6 PA
7Keibert Ruiz (L)12.9%1.0 PA
8José Tena (L)11.6%1.0 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)10.0%1.0 PA
Zack Littell · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.0 BF
Expected batters faced20.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)13.1%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)12.7%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)12.6%2.0 PA
4Lane Thomas (R)12.2%2.0 PA
5Michael Massey (L)11.2%2.0 PA
6Salvador Perez (R)8.7%2.0 PA
7John Rave (L)10.3%2.0 PA
8Nick Loftin (R)12.3%2.0 PA
9Isaac Collins (L)10.9%2.0 PA