‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
MIA @ PHI Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
MIA
Miami Marlins
12–4
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 81°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, Out To CF
Sandy Alcantara · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)12.0%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)12.3%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)17.1%3.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)13.2%3.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)9.3%3.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)9.6%3.0 PA
7Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)11.7%3.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)7.8%2.5 PA
9Garrett Stubbs (L)10.8%2.0 PA
Andrew Painter · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)14.8%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)14.9%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)11.4%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)10.7%3.0 PA
5Javier Sanoja (R)10.5%2.4 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)10.5%2.0 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)11.0%2.0 PA
8Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Esteury Ruiz (R)12.9%2.0 PA