‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
CLE @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
4–9
Final
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
◆ American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 69°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Gavin Williams · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.5 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)17.2%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)15.8%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)16.6%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)12.4%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)16.8%3.0 PA
6Sal Frelick (L)11.6%3.0 PA
7Garrett Mitchell (L)15.1%2.7 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)13.7%2.0 PA
Brandon Sproat · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CLE lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Travis Bazzana (L)8.7%3.0 PA
2Kyle Manzardo (L)10.8%3.0 PA
3Brayan Rocchio (L)9.3%3.0 PA
4Rhys Hoskins (R)11.0%2.4 PA
5Daniel Schneemann (L)10.6%2.0 PA
6David Fry (R)12.9%2.0 PA
7Steven Kwan (L)12.2%2.0 PA
8Petey Halpin (L)12.0%2.0 PA
9Patrick Bailey (L)10.5%2.0 PA