‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
COL @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
COL
Colorado Rockies
6–8
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 70°F OvercastWind 13 mph, Out To CF
Sean Sullivan · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.2 BF
Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)10.6%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)12.1%3.0 PA
3Seiya Suzuki (R)12.4%2.3 PA
4Michael Busch (L)9.6%2.0 PA
5Alex Bregman (R)10.9%2.0 PA
6Ian Happ (R)12.0%2.0 PA
7Matt Shaw (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)14.0%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)14.1%2.0 PA
Javier Assad · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload15.8 BF
Expected batters faced15.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)12.6%2.0 PA
2Tyler Freeman (R)12.0%2.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)13.4%2.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)15.3%2.0 PA
5Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Edouard Julien (L)12.1%2.0 PA
7Ezequiel Tovar (R)10.6%1.8 PA
8Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)14.6%1.0 PA