‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
TOR @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
3–0
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 76°F ClearWind 12 mph, Out To CF
Braydon Fisher · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.2 BF
Expected batters faced9.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.0 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mickey Gasper (L)12.3%1.2 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)10.9%1.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)10.9%1.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)12.5%1.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)12.0%1.0 PA
6Masataka Yoshida (L)10.5%1.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)13.3%1.0 PA
8Andruw Monasterio (R)9.4%1.0 PA
9Marcelo Mayer (L)9.7%1.0 PA
Jake Bennett · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)10.3%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)15.3%3.0 PA
3Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.9%3.0 PA
4Alejandro Kirk (R)12.3%3.0 PA
5Ernie Clement (R)13.3%2.3 PA
6Jesús Sánchez (L)9.5%2.0 PA
7Davis Schneider (R)11.5%2.0 PA
8Myles Straw (R)10.7%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)8.9%2.0 PA