‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
PIT @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 17, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
12–4
Final
ATH
Athletics
◆ Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.0 BF
Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nick Kurtz (L)15.2%3.0 PA
2Shea Langeliers (R)11.6%3.0 PA
3Tyler Soderstrom (L)12.1%3.0 PA
4Jacob Wilson (R)12.1%3.0 PA
5Jonah Heim (L)10.7%3.0 PA
6Zack Gelof (R)13.9%3.0 PA
7Lawrence Butler (L)11.7%3.0 PA
8Henry Bolte (R)7.1%2.0 PA
9Jeff McNeil (L)8.4%2.0 PA
Aaron Civale · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)13.8%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)13.6%3.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)10.2%2.0 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)10.6%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)9.6%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)10.2%2.0 PA