MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Thursday, June 18, 2026

MIN @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
93
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

MIN Joe Ryan · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.4%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)9.6%3.0 PA
3Wyatt Langford (R)11.8%3.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)10.0%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Duran (R)11.8%2.4 PA
6Josh Smith (L)9.7%2.0 PA
7Jake Burger (R)10.4%2.0 PA
8Alejandro Osuna (L)10.2%2.0 PA
9Kyle Higashioka (R)10.9%2.0 PA

TEX Jack Leiter · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)13.7%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)17.1%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)15.0%3.0 PA
4Royce Lewis (R)10.1%3.0 PA
5Josh Bell (L)12.5%3.0 PA
6Brooks Lee (L)11.3%3.0 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)8.8%2.2 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)9.3%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)12.0%2.0 PA