BAL @ SEA Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

0–3

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 72°F SunnyWind 11 mph, L To R

Shane Baz · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.9 BF

Expected batters faced24.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)12.8%3.0 PA

2Cal Raleigh (L)11.4%3.0 PA

3Josh Naylor (L)11.1%3.0 PA

4Dominic Canzone (L)13.6%3.0 PA

5Cole Young (L)10.9%3.0 PA

6Colt Emerson (L)14.3%3.0 PA

7Mitch Garver (R)11.5%2.9 PA

8Victor Robles (R)11.9%2.0 PA

9Miles Mastrobuoni (L)11.2%2.0 PA

Bryan Woo · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)14.0%3.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)13.5%3.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)12.5%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)14.4%3.0 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)12.8%3.0 PA

6Leody Taveras (L)12.7%2.4 PA

7Colton Cowser (L)13.3%2.0 PA

8Blaze Alexander (R)11.9%2.0 PA

9Jackson Holliday (L)12.5%2.0 PA