CLE @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026

CLE

Cleveland Guardians

4–2

Final

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

◆ American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 70°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, In From RF

Parker Messick · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Christian Yelich (L)13.1%3.0 PA

2Jackson Chourio (R)15.2%3.0 PA

3Brice Turang (L)10.9%3.0 PA

4Andrew Vaughn (R)13.6%3.0 PA

5Jake Bauers (L)10.7%3.0 PA

6Gary Sánchez (R)13.5%2.1 PA

7Blake Perkins (R)13.1%2.0 PA

8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Joey Ortiz (R)10.1%2.0 PA

Shane Drohan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.1 BF

Expected batters faced16.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CLE lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Travis Bazzana (L)11.3%2.0 PA

2David Fry (R)9.4%2.0 PA

3Brayan Rocchio (R)11.1%2.0 PA

4Rhys Hoskins (R)11.4%2.0 PA

5Kyle Manzardo (L)10.5%2.0 PA

6Gabriel Arias (R)10.3%2.0 PA

7Stuart Fairchild (R)14.1%2.0 PA

8Kahlil Watson (L)11.7%1.1 PA

9Austin Hedges (R)10.6%1.0 PA