‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 18, 2026
STL @ KC Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
6–14
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 76°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R
Matthew Liberatore · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Lane Thomas (R)9.9%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.2%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)10.6%3.0 PA
4Starling Marte (R)9.7%2.9 PA
5Salvador Perez (R)10.8%2.0 PA
6Carter Jensen (L)11.3%2.0 PA
7Nick Loftin (R)8.9%2.0 PA
8Isaac Collins (R)11.2%2.0 PA
9Michael Massey (L)12.1%2.0 PA
Noah Cameron · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)10.2%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)13.7%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)15.7%3.0 PA
4Nelson Velázquez (R)12.3%3.0 PA
5Alec Burleson (L)10.7%2.5 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.5%2.0 PA
7Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8José Fermín (R)13.4%2.0 PA
9Pedro Pagés (R)9.6%2.0 PA