TOR @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 18, 2026

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

4–3

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 77°F OvercastWind 8 mph, Out To LF

Trey Yesavage · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Mickey Gasper (L)12.1%3.0 PA

2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)10.7%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)10.5%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)12.3%3.0 PA

5Jarren Duran (L)11.8%2.5 PA

6Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)12.8%2.0 PA

7Caleb Durbin (R)11.4%2.0 PA

8Connor Wong (R)10.7%2.0 PA

9Andruw Monasterio (R)9.4%2.0 PA

Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1George Springer (R)12.9%3.0 PA

2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Jesús Sánchez (L)11.9%3.0 PA

4Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%2.5 PA

5Ernie Clement (R)12.2%2.0 PA

6Nathan Lukes (L)12.3%2.0 PA

7Kazuma Okamoto (R)12.0%2.0 PA

8Brandon Valenzuela (L)13.1%2.0 PA

9Andrés Giménez (L)8.7%2.0 PA