‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 19, 2026
SD @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
7–9
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
◆ Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Randy Vásquez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB11.5%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+103-137
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.4%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)9.5%3.0 PA
3Wyatt Langford (R)12.1%3.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)9.9%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Duran (R)12.5%2.3 PA
6Alejandro Osuna (L)10.1%2.0 PA
7Jake Burger (R)10.3%2.0 PA
8Nicky Lopez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Elias Díaz (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Jacob deGrom · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.0%
vs RHB7.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-119-112
We project 2.0 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)10.7%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)14.6%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)11.6%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.0%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)12.1%2.8 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)10.8%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)9.7%2.0 PA
8Will Wagner (L)11.8%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA