‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 19, 2026
WSH @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
WSH
Washington Nationals
2–5
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None
Cade Cavalli · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)10.1%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)11.8%3.0 PA
3Cedric Mullins (L)11.8%3.0 PA
4Junior Caminero (R)12.6%3.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Chandler Simpson (L)12.2%2.5 PA
7Victor Mesa Jr. (L)13.8%2.0 PA
8Hunter Feduccia (L)11.9%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (L)12.7%2.0 PA
Griffin Jax · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB8.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.3 BF
Expected batters faced18.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-121-110
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 2.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)18.6%2.3 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)13.2%2.0 PA
3José Tena (L)11.8%2.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)15.1%2.0 PA
5Keibert Ruiz (L)12.3%2.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)13.9%2.0 PA
7Nasim Nuñez (L)12.3%2.0 PA
8Jorbit Vivas (L)10.5%2.0 PA
9Jacob Young (R)12.0%2.0 PA