‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 19, 2026
SF @ MIA Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
SF
San Francisco Giants
3–4
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Landen Roupp · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB10.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-140
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+111-148
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)14.3%3.0 PA
2Owen Caissie (L)10.7%3.0 PA
3Heriberto Hernández (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Otto Lopez (R)14.6%2.3 PA
6Jakob Marsee (L)11.2%2.0 PA
7Connor Norby (R)10.7%2.0 PA
8Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Javier Sanoja (R)9.8%2.0 PA
Lake Bachar · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.2%
vs RHB9.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.9 BF
Expected batters faced11.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+100
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 1.2 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)13.9%2.0 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)14.1%2.0 PA
3Matt Chapman (R)11.6%1.9 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)12.2%1.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)13.8%1.0 PA
6Willy Adames (R)12.6%1.0 PA
7Casey Schmitt (R)11.5%1.0 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)12.6%1.0 PA
9Daniel Susac (R)8.1%1.0 PA