‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 19, 2026
BAL @ LAD Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
5–6
Final
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
◆ UNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumElevation 515 ftCenter Field 395 ft☀ 69°F ClearWind 5 mph, Out To CF
Trey Gibson · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate14.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB11.8%
vs RHB14.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.6 BF
Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140-105
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-132+100
We project 3.0 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Tucker (L)14.0%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)13.5%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)14.2%2.6 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)14.5%2.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)15.5%2.0 PA
6Tommy Edman (L)11.3%2.0 PA
7Ryan Ward (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)12.6%2.0 PA
9Alex Freeland (L)10.6%2.0 PA
Roki Sasaki · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.6%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+127-169
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 3.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)13.1%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)13.5%3.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)14.3%3.0 PA
4Samuel Basallo (L)12.2%3.0 PA
5Leody Taveras (L)12.1%3.0 PA
6Colton Cowser (L)13.2%2.1 PA
7Coby Mayo (R)11.2%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)13.4%2.0 PA
9Jeremiah Jackson (R)13.6%2.0 PA