‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 19, 2026
CLE @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
3–9
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Tanner Bibee · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB10.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-128-104
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)14.2%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)15.1%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)11.8%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)11.0%3.0 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)11.8%3.0 PA
6Yainer Diaz (R)11.7%2.5 PA
7Cam Smith (R)10.4%2.0 PA
8Joey Loperfido (L)13.3%2.0 PA
9Jake Meyers (R)10.4%2.0 PA
Tatsuya Imai · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate14.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB15.5%
vs RHB11.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.2 BF
Expected batters faced19.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-165
DKDraftKings+126-167
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CLE lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Travis Bazzana (L)10.4%3.0 PA
2Kyle Manzardo (L)11.1%2.2 PA
3Brayan Rocchio (L)9.8%2.0 PA
4Rhys Hoskins (R)10.1%2.0 PA
5Daniel Schneemann (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Gabriel Arias (R)10.3%2.0 PA
7Kahlil Watson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Patrick Bailey (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Steven Kwan (L)11.3%2.0 PA