‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 19, 2026
CWS @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026
CWS
Chicago White Sox
3–4
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
◆ Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 75°F ClearWind 10 mph, R To L
Erick Fedde · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.1% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.3%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.4 BF
Expected batters faced20.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)14.9%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)13.9%3.0 PA
3Matt Vierling (R)8.9%2.4 PA
4Riley Greene (L)12.2%2.0 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)12.0%2.0 PA
6Kerry Carpenter (L)11.3%2.0 PA
7Hao-Yu Lee (R)9.2%2.0 PA
8Colt Keith (L)12.7%2.0 PA
9Trei Cruz (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Tarik Skubal · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.4%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-185
DKDraftKings+121-161
We project 2.2 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CWS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Miguel Vargas (R)12.3%3.0 PA
2Randal Grichuk (R)13.2%3.0 PA
3Chase Meidroth (R)14.7%3.0 PA
4Colson Montgomery (L)13.3%3.0 PA
5Edgar Quero (R)9.8%3.0 PA
6Junior Perez (R)11.7%2.3 PA
7Sam Antonacci (L)10.3%2.0 PA
8Luisangel Acuña (R)10.2%2.0 PA
9Tristan Peters (L)8.5%2.0 PA