MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 19, 2026

LAA @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 19, 2026

LAA
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
1112
Final
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft 77°F ClearWind 11 mph, Out To CF

LAA José Soriano · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.8%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
DKDraftKings+126-168

We project 2.5 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Zack Gelof (R)16.0%3.0 PA
2Nick Kurtz (L)17.1%3.0 PA
3Shea Langeliers (R)12.1%3.0 PA
4Tyler Soderstrom (L)12.7%3.0 PA
5Jacob Wilson (R)12.1%3.0 PA
6Carlos Cortes (L)9.1%3.0 PA
7Lawrence Butler (L)12.7%2.2 PA
8Henry Bolte (R)8.3%2.0 PA
9Jeff McNeil (L)10.1%2.0 PA

ATH Jeffrey Springs · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate14.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB15.8%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
DKDraftKings-139+105
FANFanatics-130-110

We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

LAA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Zach Neto (R)13.6%3.0 PA
2Nolan Schanuel (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jo Adell (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Oswald Peraza (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Christian Moore (R)11.1%2.8 PA
6Denzer Guzman (R)9.8%2.0 PA
7Logan O'Hoppe (R)10.1%2.0 PA
8Wade Meckler (L)9.8%2.0 PA
9Jose Siri (R)11.2%2.0 PA