SD @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

San Diego Padres

4:05 PM EDT

TEX

Texas Rangers

◆ Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft

Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.2%

vs RHB11.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Joc Pederson (L)11.4%3.0 PA

2Josh Jung (R)9.5%3.0 PA

3Wyatt Langford (R)12.1%3.0 PA

4Brandon Nimmo (L)9.9%3.0 PA

5Ezequiel Duran (R)12.5%2.0 PA

6Alejandro Osuna (L)10.1%2.0 PA

7Jake Burger (R)10.3%2.0 PA

8Nicky Lopez (L)9.4%2.0 PA

9Elias Díaz (R)13.2%2.0 PA

Nathan Eovaldi · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.4%

vs RHB10.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.9 BF

Expected batters faced25.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)10.7%3.0 PA

2Samad Taylor (R)14.6%3.0 PA

3Jackson Merrill (L)11.6%3.0 PA

4Manny Machado (R)11.0%3.0 PA

5Gavin Sheets (L)12.1%3.0 PA

6Xander Bogaerts (R)10.8%3.0 PA

7Ty France (R)9.7%3.0 PA

8Will Wagner (L)11.8%2.9 PA

9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA