‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
WSH @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
WSH
Washington Nationals
vs
4:10 PM EDT
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft
Cade Cavalli · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)10.1%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)11.8%3.0 PA
3Jonny DeLuca (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Junior Caminero (R)12.6%3.0 PA
5Cedric Mullins (L)11.8%3.0 PA
6Chandler Simpson (L)12.2%2.5 PA
7Richie Palacios (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Taylor Walls (L)12.7%2.0 PA
9Hunter Feduccia (L)11.9%2.0 PA
Ian Seymour · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB14.6%
vs RHB8.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload12.6 BF
Expected batters faced12.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
WSH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)13.9%2.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)11.3%2.0 PA
3José Tena (L)12.8%2.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)12.3%1.6 PA
5Keibert Ruiz (R)11.5%1.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)10.1%1.0 PA
7Nasim Nuñez (R)14.6%1.0 PA
8Jorbit Vivas (L)11.9%1.0 PA
9Jacob Young (R)13.0%1.0 PA