‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
BOS @ SEA Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
vs
10:10 PM EDT
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB10.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SEA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)11.6%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (R)10.3%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)10.8%3.0 PA
4Dominic Canzone (L)9.1%3.0 PA
5Cole Young (L)9.4%3.0 PA
6Colt Emerson (L)11.8%3.0 PA
7Mitch Garver (R)11.9%2.1 PA
8Victor Robles (R)11.3%2.0 PA
9Miles Mastrobuoni (L)13.1%2.0 PA
Emerson Hancock · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mickey Gasper (L)10.9%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.0%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)9.9%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.6%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)11.2%2.7 PA
6Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)12.7%2.0 PA
7Caleb Durbin (R)11.2%2.0 PA
8Connor Wong (R)10.4%2.0 PA
9Andruw Monasterio (R)8.6%2.0 PA