MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026

SF @ MIA Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

SF
SF
San Francisco Giants
vs
4:10 PM EDT
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft

SF Trevor McDonald · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.7%
vs RHB8.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)14.3%3.0 PA
2Owen Caissie (L)10.7%3.0 PA
3Heriberto Hernández (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Otto Lopez (R)14.6%3.0 PA
6Jakob Marsee (L)11.2%2.1 PA
7Connor Norby (R)10.7%2.0 PA
8Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Javier Sanoja (R)9.8%2.0 PA

MIA Max Meyer · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)13.9%3.0 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)14.1%3.0 PA
3Matt Chapman (R)11.6%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)12.2%3.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)13.8%3.0 PA
6Willy Adames (R)12.6%3.0 PA
7Casey Schmitt (R)11.5%2.4 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)12.6%2.0 PA
9Daniel Susac (R)8.1%2.0 PA