‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
CLE @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
vs
7:15 PM EDT
HOU
Houston Astros
◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft
Joey Cantillo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB13.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)10.9%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)12.0%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)12.3%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)11.0%2.5 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)14.5%2.0 PA
6Yainer Diaz (R)11.6%2.0 PA
7Cam Smith (R)10.7%2.0 PA
8Joey Loperfido (L)10.2%2.0 PA
9Jake Meyers (R)11.8%2.0 PA
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB6.4%
vs RHB12.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CLE lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Travis Bazzana (L)10.4%3.0 PA
2Kyle Manzardo (L)11.1%3.0 PA
3Brayan Rocchio (L)9.8%3.0 PA
4Rhys Hoskins (R)10.1%3.0 PA
5Daniel Schneemann (L)10.4%3.0 PA
6Gabriel Arias (R)10.3%2.6 PA
7Kahlil Watson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Patrick Bailey (L)9.7%2.0 PA
9Steven Kwan (L)11.3%2.0 PA