‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
PIT @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
vs
9:10 PM EDT
COL
Colorado Rockies
◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft
Paul Skenes · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)13.4%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)14.5%3.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)13.0%3.0 PA
5Tyler Freeman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.8 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)10.6%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)14.6%2.0 PA
Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)12.2%3.0 PA
2Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.2%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)10.3%3.0 PA
5Brandon Lowe (L)14.3%2.8 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)12.4%2.0 PA
7Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)10.2%2.0 PA
9Billy Cook (R)11.4%2.0 PA