‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
TOR @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
vs
2:20 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Patrick Corbin · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB13.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)10.9%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)9.6%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)12.8%2.5 PA
5Ian Happ (R)12.6%2.0 PA
6Matt Shaw (R)12.6%2.0 PA
7Nico Hoerner (R)12.1%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)15.2%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)15.5%2.0 PA
Colin Rea · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate14.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.1%
vs RHB13.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)12.5%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)12.2%3.0 PA
3Jesús Sánchez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Alejandro Kirk (R)9.2%3.0 PA
6Nathan Lukes (L)12.1%2.2 PA
7Kazuma Okamoto (R)12.5%2.0 PA
8Davis Schneider (R)13.1%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)9.3%2.0 PA